The Mathematics of Maybe: Introduction to Probability
Sample spaces and events
List every possible outcome of an experiment.
The sample space S lists every possible outcome: it must include every outcome and list none twice. The number of outcomes is the sample size, n(S).
Examples:
- tomorrow's weather: {Rain, No Rain}, n(S) = 2;
- a match: {Win, Lose, Draw}, n(S) = 3;
- one coin: {H, T}; one die: {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6};
- two coins: {HH, HT, TH, TT}, n(S) = 4.
Choose the detail the question needs. For the amount of rain, use {No Rain, Drizzle, Light Rain, Heavy Rain}.
An event is a particular group of outcomes: a subset of the sample space. Think of the sample space as everyone at a party, and an event as one group of guests: 'everyone wearing red'.
- two coins, 'at least one head' = {HH, HT, TH};
- a die, 'greater than 4' = {5, 6}.
Combining two choices multiplies the counts: 3 snacks × 2 drinks = 6 combinations; a die and a coin, 6 × 2 = 12.
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